Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 966.867131 1101.481868 1254.067904 1441.070297 1665.764714 1929.207759 2264.641433
2025-01-12 748.869580 914.689497 1120.896474 1400.760150 1777.998769 2279.942962 3018.051746
2025-01-19 629.874750 801.184591 1026.246544 1351.479168 1823.345365 2506.707245 3619.291529
2025-01-26 580.420745 765.358158 1020.636696 1411.563591 2019.930310 2977.825964 4710.271510
2025-02-02 534.926591 726.215428 1001.158316 1443.153212 2173.763926 3412.973889 5884.203427
2025-02-09 494.135273 687.432216 974.945834 1456.961547 2297.410374 3822.914213 7160.683273
2025-02-16 454.976904 645.934041 938.236781 1446.118838 2373.742858 4162.569231 8428.098675
2025-02-23 432.784216 627.420102 934.372948 1488.227432 2551.677806 4744.424030 10516.812797
2025-03-02 414.691238 613.086774 934.900498 1536.974785 2750.984461 5428.591247 13248.998489
2025-03-09 393.548950 591.547927 920.508270 1555.503790 2892.257780 6025.670314 16119.284959
2025-03-16 370.336603 564.382578 893.308498 1545.292153 2969.712050 6492.842571 18909.284924
2025-03-23 355.292380 549.567672 886.131033 1572.959304 3136.976619 7250.222419 23384.007088
2025-03-30 329.067394 514.223815 839.843613 1517.962559 3108.066142 7479.583097 26062.840822
2025-04-06 306.498953 483.728881 800.009466 1471.964639 3094.271941 7759.539467 29338.802159
2025-04-13 285.507640 454.456638 759.796264 1419.875195 3054.953005 7950.164669 32434.471528
2025-04-20 280.219248 452.852703 771.984978 1483.873859 3332.276544 9300.710895 44122.461159
2025-04-27 271.816212 444.848899 770.829435 1517.590731 3536.892124 10509.956079 57564.003565
2025-05-04 262.068954 433.591936 762.076779 1532.326396 3691.848982 11621.235727 73236.077985
2025-05-11 250.520741 418.130165 743.404006 1520.754106 3766.267577 12450.464299 88987.345611
2025-05-18 245.066779 413.893114 747.476119 1565.706477 4029.518254 14289.675684 123807.435916
2025-05-25 240.469447 410.952049 753.945136 1617.776781 4332.837234 16566.258498 179561.219020
2025-06-01 233.441169 402.732906 748.317587 1637.577363 4533.356358 18486.294422 246822.640787
2025-06-08 224.489265 390.114815 732.028362 1626.664364 4622.403424 19860.303373 318139.777870